The event we are witnessing here today has an historical significance which no words can adequately convey. Let me therefore begin on a note of inescapable understatement by saying how privileged I feel, and how very proud I am to be a part of it.
Africa's
image in the eyes of the world has for long been one of widespread poverty
and political upheaval. The popular sentiment about the continent's prospects
is laden with much cynicism and deprecation. To be sure, this is not entirely
without foundation. True, the conventional indicators of African economic
performance have not been encouraging. The 1960's saw economic growth
barely keeping up with population growth. Per capita income actually fell
in the 1980's, and already by the mid-nineties, there was talk of a faltering
economic reform effort amid fears that it was bound to be imperiled by
the onset of political and constitutional reforms. Your genius in managing
a successful democratic transition in South Africa gave the lie to these
apprehensions and will surely go down as one of this century's most enduring
legacies.
Today's
historic event is taking place in a slightly different, even if confusing
environment; one marked, on the one hand by a downturn in Asia's economic
performance, with consequent distress in international capital markets
and, on the other, by an unmistakable, even if tentative, upturn in the
economies of many African countries.
Now,
this is by no means to suggest that the African crisis is over. On the
contrary, as the published human development indicators amply demonstrate,
the challenge of African development is as daunting as ever. For one thing,
the higher growth rates that a handful of countries have begun to record
are still rather fragile, resting as they do on rather low levels of domestic
savings and investment. And yet, even for the strong performers, even
for the countries that are doing well, the prospects of enhanced international
cooperation are uncertain and, alas, the task of attracting private foreign
capital will become even more difficult now thanks to the contagion effect
of the emerging capital markets plunge. What is more, the accompanying
collapse of commodity prices is bound to put added pressure on national
resources. But in the end Africa's fate will be determined by what Africa
itself does. It will be determined by the quality and consistency of domestic
policy reform and by the application of new knowledge to Africa's long-standing
problems. What the recent upturn in African economic performance shows
is that the problems of the region are not the work of some inexorable
iron laws that condemn the African people to an apocalyptic fate. It shows
that in Africa, as elsewhere, things can be changed through conscious
action. What is required, what the times call for, is a rigorous rethinking
of development theory and strategy to guide this action, for, despite
the pretensions of the prevailing orthodoxies, the evidence suggests that
we do not have all the answers.
There
is a quiet revolution in development research in Africa, much of it spearheaded
by policy research institutes and programs sponsored by the African Capacity
Building Foundation based in Harare. I and my colleagues in the new Emerging
Africa project at the Center for International Development, and the larger
African studies community at Harvard aim to contribute to this search
for answers. Our project is a bold new initiative that aims to provide,
in close collaboration with African researchers and institutions (including,
we hope, the University of Cape Town), a multi-disciplinary development
focus to the rich store of Africa related research and scholarship already
underway at Harvard. The prospect of your visit has provided a powerful
stimulus for this collaboration, and I have no doubt that today's event
will continue to inspire us in the years ahead.
Permit
me to say that, for my part, I remain, like you, deeply optimistic about
the continent's future. For, yes, I see a continent in crisis. But behind
all the turbulence, behind all the travail, I see a noble and indefatigable
African spirit, that spirit which, Mr. President, you represent so quintessentially.
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